Here are my state-by-state predictions in the map below:
Missouri will feature a less-than-six-percent margin, in my opinion, as will the state of Montana (and I know that will be a shocker in that very Republican and very white state). I also, just to play safe bettor, award those to Romney.
Ohio, Virginia and Colorado will be close, but not enough to take them away from Obama. Ohio is already reporting voter difficulties and voter restraint, but the ballots from Cleveland will succeed in giving it to the incumbent. Colorado has flip-flopped back and forth over the last month in reputable polls, but has been on an Obama tide in the last couple of weeks. Virginia will go to Obama along with its support for Senate candidate Tim Kaine.
My home state of South Carolina will go to Romney, I'm sure -- it won't be the same blow-out margin of other presidential elections, though. In 2008, Obama trailed by nine percent, which was the first time in three decades for a Dem candidate loss by less than 10 percent. In 2012, I predict that Obama will be less than eight percent under in South Carolina. Much of the reason will be that traditional GOP voters here don't want to support Romney, and predominately for religious reasons. Those voters will select another candidate or will simply stay home on Election Day.
In my South Carolina county of Dorchester, I predict that Obama will do slightly better than he did in 2008. Instead of 41.6, he'll do slightly over 43. This gain is due to three reasons: weather (it'll be quite rainy on Election Day, which will restrict the older and traditional GOP voters); new residents (we were in the Top 20 fastest growing counties nationwide in the last decade, with most new residents coming from out of state); and GOP disinterest (due to the fact that the Republican Party in this county has greatly alienated its typical supporters as its become more and more evident that its officials and candidates aren't really Republicans [or Democrats, either], and are only self-serving, self-interested wannabes).
Disagree with any of these predictions? Post your comments below, folks.